Three questions plus one: Did Palin outright lie about the Bridge to Nowhere (see Sommersby)?
Did she mislead the public in making them believe the governor's plane was sold in EBAY (kos)?
Did she lie about troopergate (abcnews)?
Did she lie about firing employees in AK?

In my years following the scene I have never seen someone uphold christian values to their chest so tighty and lie so brazenly and overtly.

According to Wiki- the age of consent in Alaska is 16 unless the partner is 18-according to drudge the bf is 18- was he 18 five months ago? If so a charge of statutory rape may be warranted together with having the perp register in the sexual offender registry's.  Now I consider this law to be ridiculous and so does the pot smoking law.  Nevertheless, there is a pattern in Palin family that laws are not meant for them (DWI, sexual harassment, abuse of power)- in fact - she seems like a perfect fit for the GOP- but what I want to raise is the unfairness of the siuation. A black man commits a statutoy rape- disenchanfrise him for life, ditto for a Mexican smoking pot- the Palin family does it? Then it is ok because she is white and pretty. And the secession thing? White conservative Americans understand.    

Firing someone for not doing family favors (not knowing why she fired him does not cut it); knowingly promoting a sexual harasser; creationism, only two meeting with McJoke, inexperience, endangered species killer, potsmoker, etc., etc. We learn all this is in only four hours. Tomorrow we will have a tome.  I have a bold prediction from a reeling mind and BTW: McJoke truly lost his marbles-in comparison to Q, at least Quayle had a foot in the ground (he was inexperenced but got a bad break- the potato spelling thing- please: he was a two term Senator from a major state coming from an important family- and he did have some important accomplishments)- the convention may be postponed- and if it is, the hurricane is only part of the reason-This time next week Palin will no longer be the VP nominee- you heard it here first.  

Didn't evangelists pray for rain in Denver and instead got a hurricane that will probably suspend Republican Party convention? It is as if God has a sense of humor. If 72 year old cancer survivor McCain were to get elected and die before assuming office, what would be the reaction in the country to President Palin- panic? How would other countries react? And terrorists?  

Convention conventional wisdom dictates a media saturated event that leads to a marked bump in the polls The attention drawn to them by the press on speeches and platforms and to real or imagined controversies are long cherised staples of the pageant. But all this is wrong in the modern age.  Yes, some attention will lead to some spike in the polls; but by and large, the individuals and the parties have settled as well delivered their message; so all this attention gathering leads not to much except to frustrate journalists.  This odd anachronistic institution does little to advance the passions of either party. The conventions do serve one objective, unite the base, and in this sense the Democratic Party meeting should be a success. The Republican party meeting will not have as much of an impact since MCCain going early to the well of negative campaigning accomplished as much. Interestingly enough, McCain's VP choice may present some problems, from chosing a pro-choicer to someone with little experience. Unlike Biden, I do not think there is a safe pick amomg the republicans. So I predict a plus 5 Obama advantage after the convention which will dissipate after the Republican convention. The net result is that we will be where we are and have been summer all summer long: a close race where republicans will be required to win just about every toss-up state to prevail, and the convention itself will remain a distant memory.    

Gallup tracking shows a 5 point swing in two days-my best guess is that there was a one day outier that is affecting the results-we shall find out in two days. Diageo, on the other hand, has Obama ahead by 4 in the just listed poll. What is utterly amazing is that Obama leads a poll where the respondents stated that they voted for Bush over Kerry 48-35. In other words in a poll that is slanted +10 R, Obama leads by 4. I also must wonder if there is something wrong with this poll; but even if the slant is half of what is listed you may be seeing the beginning of the end of the Bush/McCain regime.    

In a close election I figure McCain will have to win the following dead heat states: VA, OH, COL, NEV and FL. Fl and VA may well go R due to historical leanings though the $ spent in FL and the rapidly changing demos of VA may alter that. Note to O- Kaine will abolutely have no impact in the state. OH truly is tight- the economy vs. the Bradley effect. Appalachia vs. Illinois influence- and frankly, the OH voter is as unpredictable as their thinking. OH was one of the few states that Bush did worse last election. Is this a trend? However, the dimwit voters may confuse McCain with McKinley. For now, I say OH is R despite same day registrations voting day.  COL looks like it has all the indications of being D. The negatives are that it is an evangelical and military state. The positives, everything else is D. The convention may swing the state; and if not the water issue will certainly will.  I say this is O's firewall. NV should also go O because of unionization and GOTV efforts. This last two states are two D trending states that may benefit with a good VP selection. If it is a VA pick, I hope it is a Webb, who may actually swing the state, unlike Kaine, and that way Kaine can appoint the replacement and thereby keeping the senate seat in D hands.    

Today, Talking Points Memo takes the pulse of the campaigns and questions whether the Obama has a set message apart from 'change' similar to McCain 'I'm a strong leader.' Apart from raising the negatives of McCain and raising the possibilty of more wars and deficits- the change message follows that by changing we improve the government and the economy. McCain will not. He will continue with divisive issues and bankrupt the U.S. Obama should argue that everybody's America would improve if he is elected (now I see where the Messiah talking point originated). If you believes things can improve, then Obama is your vote.